NCAA ~ 9/21

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-40)

The Wildcats have wins in three straight games to start a season for the first time since 2010 and have won 10 of their past 11 contests. Bethune-Cookman's defense has been stout, holding opponents to less than 10 points per game and has also managed three defensive touchdowns. Senior linebacker Jarkevis Fields leads the team with 23 tackles and had a game-high six in the win over Florida International.

The Seminoles have been firing on all cylinders on offense, passing the century mark in points through their first two games for the second consecutive season, with nine different players scoring touchdowns. Against Nevada, Florida State compiled 617 yards and 59 unanswered points, coasting to a 62-7 victory. Junior Nick O'Leary has hauled in three touchdown catches, trailing only Indiana's Ted Bolser among FBS tight ends.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Florida State opened as a 40-point home fave.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last four games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 3-0-1 in FSU's last four games after totaling more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 40 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Stanford opened as a 7-point home fave but is now -5.5. The total opened at 49.5 and is up to 51.5.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

This game is a joke and noles probably cover by the half!

The play: FSU -40

Others:
Utah St +7
Florida -16
Alabama under 52

NCAA ~ 9/19

Clemson Tigers at North Carolina State Wolfpack (+13.5, 66.5)

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Clemson opened -14 and has been bet down under the key number to -13.5. The total opened at 65.5 and has been moved to 66.5 points.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s and partly cloudy skies with a 2 percent chance of rain. Winds ESE at 4 mph.

Clemson has come out firing this season. They started with a great win over Georgia, where Tahj Boyd and the Clemson offense showed they still have a lot of fire power. Tahj Boyd has already thrown 439 yards for 3 TDS and has also ran for two. He has been supported by RB McDowell who is averaging 5.8 yards per rush. Sammy Watkins has picked up right where he left off last year, catching 9 passes for 146 yards. Clemson is averaging 37.7 points a game, which is to be expected. Their defense has been the surprise this year, making much improvement over last year.

NC State started off the season with an easy win over Louisiana Tech, but struggled in their next against a mediocre Richmond team. QB Thomas threw 2 interceptions and didn't seem to really be in rhythm. The defense gave up 322 yards, 300 of them passing. NC State is going to have trouble keeping up with Clemson on both sides of the field. NC State has a weak running game, and the Clemson defense should get a few sacks in this one as the Wolfpack only have one offensive option. The Clemson offense should run through the Wolfpack defense quite easily, as the running and passing threat will both be prevalently.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in North Carolina State.
* Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Road team is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

Projected Score: Clemson 41 North Carolina State 14

The play: CLEMSON -13

NCAA ~ 9/14

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies (+9, 62)

The two-time defending national champions take on the Heisman Trophy quarterback who nearly derailed their title defense a year ago when top-ranked Alabama travels to No. 6 Texas A&M for a Southeastern Conference showdown Saturday afternoon. Star quarterback Johnny Manziel and the Aggies put their nation-best eight-game winning streak on the line against Alabama's vaunted defense in one of the most-anticipated matchups of the season. Last year in Tuscaloosa, Ala., Manziel's Heisman campaign hit high gear when he orchestrated a 29-24 upset of the undefeated Crimson Tide.

Coach Nick Saban has had two weeks to prepare for Manziel and the Aggies' high-powered offense, as the Crimson Tide had a week off following a 35-10 win over Virginia Tech in the opener. Alabama hasn't lost a road or neutral-site game since Nov. 6, 2010, a span of 15 games - the longest active streak in the nation. It's the first trip to College Station, Texas, for the Crimson Tide since a 30-10 victory in 1988.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 90s with partly cloudy skies and a 10 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing ENE at 6 mph.

LINE: Alabama opened as a 6-point favorite and was bet up as high as -9.5 before coming down to -9. Total opened at 56 and was bet up as high as 63 before coming down to 60 points.

ABOUT ALABAMA (1-0, 1-0 ATS): The Crimson Tide were dominant on defense and special teams against the Hokies but experienced the growing pains associated with an inexperienced offensive line. Three of Alabama's five touchdowns in the opener were produced by the defense and special teams, and Christion Jones accounted for three of the scores with a 74-yard punt return, a 93-yard kickoff return and a 39-yard touchdown catch. The non-traditional scores helped mask a lackluster offensive effort, as Alabama managed only 206 total yards.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (2-0, 1-1 ATS): Coach Kevin Sumlin's team continues to put up huge offensive numbers, averaging 58.5 points and 600 yards through two games, but the defense has been susceptible even against inferior opponents. After being suspended for the first half of the opener against Rice, Manziel came off the bench to throw three touchdown passes, and he rolled up 462 total yards and four scores (three passing) last week against Sam Houston State. The Aggies might need more eye-popping numbers from Manziel this week, as the defense has surrendered 29.5 points and 449.5 yards per contest.

TRENDS:

* Crimson Tide are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games.
* Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 32-17 SU and ATS in revenge spots during his college career – including 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS when favored by more than seven points.
* Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin is 0-6 ATS in his career against .666 or greater foes with revenge.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Since the start of the 2008 season, Alabama is 41-0 when it has fewer turnovers than its opponent and 51-0 when rushing for at least 140 yards.

2. Texas A&M is 1-4 all-time at home against top-ranked teams. Alabama is the first No. 1 team to visit College Station since the Aggies upset Oklahoma 30-26 in 2002.

3. The Aggies have surpassed 400 total yards in 14 consecutive games. Alabama has not allowed an opponent to reach 400 yards since Texas A&M did so last season.

In what may be the game of the year on paper, it's hard to see 60 points here. Nine is a lot to lay...but Saban want crushing revenge. Mr Football can't do it alone.

The play: ALABAMA -9 & UNDER 60

Others:
Kansas +6'
Arkansas -23
Kentucky +14'

Posted record - 6-1

NCAA - Sept 7th

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-4, 50)

Notre Dame hasn't won at Michigan's "Big House" since 2005, a fact the 13th-ranked Fighting Irish need to remedy Saturday to keep their hopes of getting back to the national championship game alive. The 17th-ranked Wolverines seek their 400th victory at Michigan Stadium - and their 16th straight under coach Brady Hoke. Michigan has won six of its last seven home games versus Notre Dame, including three straight - one shy of its longest home win streak in the series.

The Wolverines hold a 23-16-1 edge in the series between the teams with the two best winning percentages in college football history. But the Irish defense dominated last year's matchup, intercepting Denard Robinson five times in a 13-6 victory. That sort of defensive performance would be even more impressive against this Michigan team, which rolled up 463 yards in a 59-9 win over Central Michigan last week.

TV: 8:12 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Michigan opened at -3.5 and has been bet up to -4.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s and there is a 29 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Wind will blow toward the north end zone of the Big House at 4 mph.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (1-0): The Irish faced some turmoil in the offseason, most notably losing quarterback Everett Golson when he was suspended from the school for the fall semester. Tommy Rees stepped in under center and was effective in last week's 24-6 win against Temple, going 16-for-23 for 346 yards and three touchdowns. The defense, dominant during the undefeated regular season a year ago, picked up where it left off but will have its hands full with a Michigan team loaded with talent at the skill positions.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (1-0): The Wolverines' offense flourished last week under quarterback Devin Gardner, who was 10-of-15 for 162 yards and a touchdown and rushed for 52 yards and two scores. Gardner has accounted for at least two touchdowns in six straight games. The defense had a strong showing, as well, holding Central Michigan to 210 total yards and forcing two turnovers as the Wolverines aim for a third consecutive season ranking in the top 20 in the nation in total defense.

TRENDS:

* The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Big Ten.
* The over is 4-0 in the Wolverines' last four home games.
* The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Notre Dame is 11-0 when it does not commit a turnover under coach Brian Kelly, whose five-year contract extension was announced Saturday.

2. Michigan K Brendan Gibbons has made a school record-tying 14 consecutive field goals dating to last season.

3. Eighteen of the past 28 meetings have been decided by seven points or fewer.

The play: Notre Dame +4

Colege Football ~ August 31

Great news is the season is hear and there is money to be made. Baseball is profitable, but osuch a grind over the long daily season. College football on the other hand is probably the most exciting wager season of them all! So on to the picks:

UMass vs. Wisconsin--5* graded play 'UNDER' Wisconsin-UMASS in CFB action set to start at 12:00 NOON ET. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 53 points will be scored in this mismatch of teams. This game is a mismatch, but the public is betting the 'OVER' with an irrational exuberance that is exceeding more than 70% of all wagers made. Umass will not be able to run at all on this stout defense. In past games, where the Wisconsin defense has allowed fewer than 50 rushing yards, the 'UNDER' has gone 10-3 since 1992. The Badgers have no need to run up the score on the Minutemen and I see this as a 38-3 type of game. This is not a recommendation to take the points at 44 1/2 either.

The play: UMass/Wisky UNDER 54

No. 1 Alabama meets Va. Tech in Saturday's opener
By: Brian Graham

Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Kickoff: Saturday, 5:30 p.m. ET
Line: Alabama -18, Total: 45.5

No. 1 Alabama begins its quest for a third straight national title on Saturday afternoon when it meets Virginia Tech at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.

Eventual Heisman winner Mark Ingram led the Crimson Tide to a 34-24 win-and-cover over Virginia Tech in 2009 at the Georgia Dome, outgaining the Hokies 498 to 155 in total yardage. That began a run of three BCS Championships in four years for Alabama, which once again has a championship roster with returning star QB AJ McCarron, 1,000-yard WR Amari Cooper and 1,000-yard RB T.J. Yeldon. Seven starters return from the last year’s dominant defense as well. Off a huge 7-6 letdown season in 2012, the Hokies need QB Logan Thomas to find consistency, and they’ve yet to find a bell-cow in their crowded RB committee. The Tech defense should be excellent with nine returning starters, but star CB Antone Exum is doubtful for the opener as he continues his recovery from a torn ACL suffered in January. Since taking over at Alabama, head coach Nick Saban is 14-4 ATS (79%) in non-home games in the first half of the season, and since 2009, his team is 19-7 ATS (73%) in all non-home games and 12-6 ATS (67%) in non-SEC tilts. On the flip side, Virginia Tech is 8-18 ATS (31%) overall in the past seasons, including 4-10 ATS (29%) in non-home games and 3-6 ATS (33%) outside the ACC.

Crimson Tide QB AJ McCarron (2,933 pass yds, 30 TD, 3 INT) led the nation in passing efficiency last season and still has WR Amari Cooper (1,000 rec. yds, 11 TD) as his go-to receiver. RB T.J. Yeldon (1,108 rush yds, 12 TD) propels the No. 16 ground game (228 YPG), which lost three starters on the offensive line. For the second straight season, Alabama led the country in both total defense (250 YPG) and rushing defense (80 YPG), while ranking second in scoring defense (10.9 PPG allowed). DE Ed Stinson (3 sacks, 5 QBH) is the lone returning starter on the defensive line, but LB C.J. Mosley (107 tackles, 4 sacks) will dominate the middle again with OLB Adrian Hubbard (7 sacks, 3 FF). CB Deion Belue (40 tackles, 7 PD) and safeties Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (5 INT) and Vinnie Sunseri (54 tackles) are all top-notch defenders.

The Hokies are coming off their worst campaign in two decades, as the offense ranked 83rd in the nation in both yards (377 YPG) and points (25.1 PPG). Head coach Frank Beamer is hoping new offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler can work miracles with erratic QB Logan Thomas (51% completions, 2,976 pass yds, 18 TD, 16 INT). Both starting offensive tackles and his top three receivers are gone, but the Hokies do get back senior WR D.J. Coles (480 rec. yds in 2011) who missed last year with a knee injury. Top RB J.C. Coleman (492 rush yds, 4.5 YPC) returns, but he gained 50 rushing yards just once in 2012, and is questionable to play on Saturday because of an ankle injury. The excellent Virginia Tech defense (333 YPG, 18th in FBS; 99 TFL, T-9th in FBS) is stacked again though. DE James Gayle (5 sacks) and LB Jack Tyler (119 tackles) headline a fierce front seven, but the secondary may struggle without CB Antone Exum (5 INT).

The play: Bama -21

Others:
Toledo +23
Okie St -11
Georgia -1'
N Illinois +2'
Buffalo +34

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